Experts predict that US President Donald Trump will not receive the Nobel Peace Prize he so desperately wants because he is undermining the global order that the award committee values.
Additionally, his lobbying is probably ineffective. In order to avoid external influences, one member of the award giving committee told Reuters that the committee wants to operate independently.The five member body might instead want to recognise a humanitarian agency that operates in a more difficult climate, in part because of Trump's cuts to US funding. On October 10, the announcement will be made.
The UN refugee agency, UNHCR, the U.N. children's agency, UNICEF, the Red Cross, Doctors Without Borders, or a grassroots organisation like Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms, among others, might receive an award for this.
"He has no chance to get the Peace Prize at all," Asle Sveen, an award historian, said, pointing to Trump's attempts to make amends with Russian President Vladimir Putin and his backing for Israel in the Gaza conflict.
"Who has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations" is the recipient, according to Alfred Nobel's will, the foundation of the award.
Nina Graeger, head of the Oslo Peace Research Institute, said Trump is not doing that.
"He has withdrawn the US from the World Health Organisation and from the Paris Accord on climate, he has initiated a trade war on old friends and allies," she stated to Reuters.
"That is not exactly what we think about when we think about a peaceful president or someone who really is interested in promoting peace."
Indeed, there have been a number of unexpected winners of the Nobel Peace Prize in the past, such as Henry Kissinger during the height of the Vietnam War or Barack Obama less than eight months after taking office.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee's previous member, Henrik Syse, stated that "sometimes people have received the Peace Prize in spite of a brutal record, an authoritarian record, a background where they've contributed to evil, or at least wrongdoing."
